Data BreakDown
Child Welfare in the Pandemic
table of contents
Hotline Calls and Investigations
Overall Court-Involvement of Families
Preventive Services
Number of Children in Foster Care
Permanency Outcomes
Termination of parental rights
Other Changes in System Practice
Data Sources
During the early months of COVID-19 and continuing today, much in child welfare changed because of the pandemic, including the number of hotline calls as well as investigative protocols, court structures and ACS services. This brief summarizes the specific data points that members of the Narrowing the Front Door Work Group wanted to understand.
Hotline Calls and Investigations
Comparing April-June 2020 with April-June 2019, the number of reports to the State Central Register regarding children in New York City fell by more than 40 percent, to 9,848 from 17,347 (Arons, p11).
Reports from families and community members dipped by only 21 percent, but reports from mandated reporters plummeted by 53 percent. Reports by school personnel (who are normally responsible for 25% of all hotline calls in NYC) fell by 83 percent. Reports by medical providers and social service personnel dropped by around 40 percent, and reports by law enforcement fell by 33 percent (Arons, p11).
Hotline Calls and Investigations
Comparing April-June 2020 with April-June 2019, the number of reports to the State Central Register regarding children in New York City fell by more than 40 percent, to 9,848 from 17,347 (Arons, p11).
Reports from families and community members dipped by only 21 percent, but reports from mandated reporters plummeted by 53 percent. Reports by school personnel (who are normally responsible for 25% of all hotline calls in NYC) fell by 83 percent. Reports by medical providers and social service personnel dropped by around 40 percent, and reports by law enforcement fell by 33 percent (Arons, p11).
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Comparing April-June 2020 with April-June 2019, the number of reports to the State Central Register regarding children in New York City fell by more than 40 percent, to 9,848 from 17,347 (Arons, p11).
Reports from families and community members dipped by only 21 percent, but reports from mandated reporters plummeted by 53 percent. Reports by school personnel (who are normally responsible for 25% of all hotline calls in NYC) fell by 83 percent. Reports by medical providers and social service personnel dropped by around 40 percent, and reports by law enforcement fell by 33 percent (Arons, p11).
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Comparing April-June 2020 with April-June 2019, the number of reports to the State Central Register regarding children in New York City fell by more than 40 percent, to 9,848 from 17,347 (Arons, p11).
Reports from families and community members dipped by only 21 percent, but reports from mandated reporters plummeted by 53 percent. Reports by school personnel (who are normally responsible for 25% of all hotline calls in NYC) fell by 83 percent. Reports by medical providers and social service personnel dropped by around 40 percent, and reports by law enforcement fell by 33 percent (Arons, p11).
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Allegation types remained stable throughout the pandemic, although the percent of cases with domestic violence or mental health concerns rose considerably in 2020 and 2021.
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Investigations Substantiated
The rate of substantiation did not change in spring 2020. It was 37-39% in April-June of 2020 and 35-38% in that period of 2019. It remained consistent in fall 2020 (Arons, p12).
However, in winter 2021 the substantiation rate dropped, averaging 33.5% in Jan-April 2021 and reaching a low of 31.6% in April 2021 (ACS Flash Indicator Report-July 2021, p6).
Court Filings for Removal
In the first three months after the shutdown, ACS filed 50% fewer new abuse/neglect cases (Article 10 filings) than in that timeframe the year before, 1,482 filings compared to 3,205 (Arons, p12).
Arons wrote: “Strikingly, in a time where families were under increasing pressure, ACS requested remands in approximately half as many cases, a decrease that outpaced the decrease in reports received.”
Surprisingly, there were fewer Article 10 filings in Jan-June 2021 than in Jan-June 2020, which included the height of the pandemic, dropping to 765 from 954. (ACS Flash Indicator Report-July 2021, p10).
Removals
The number of children removed and placed in foster care during April-June 2020 was down about 50% as well, 375 children in 2020 compared to 700 in 2019 (Arons, p13).
Comparing March 2020 to February 2021 with the period of March 2019 to February 2020, 38% fewer children were removed and placed in foster care (ACS Flash Indicator Report-July 2021, p18).
Court-Ordered Supervision
During much of 2020, the Family Court was only hearing emergency matters, which did not include Court-Ordered Supervision (unless there was also an order of protection excluding someone from the home.) Based on court closure and practice changes, court-ordered supervision fell 33%. Existing supervision cases were not heard and new supervision cases were not filed, although some court-ordered supervision cases were resolved through stipulation. (ACS testimony and communication)
ACS data show that approximately 60% of Article 10 filings from Jan-June 2021 resulted in court-ordered supervision. Those cases reflect cases involving court-ordered supervision or types of court supervision that a judge may ordered when ACS files for removal but it isn’t granted. For instance, one parent can be removed from the home while the child remains with the other parent; a child can be placed with a family member or friend through court supervision instead of formally through foster care; or a removal can be refused by the court but supervision continues until fact-finding while the child remains at home.
In recent years, ACS filings for supervision has ballooned, rising from 6,383 cases in FY15 to 10,033 in FY18 before declining to 6,778 in 2020. (CWW 2021)
Overall Court-Involvement of Families
Overall, ACS filed 4,115 fewer article 10 petitions to monitor or separate children from their families in 2020 than in 2019. Filings remain down in 2021, impacting 6,960 children Jan-Oct 2020 and 6,799 Jan-Oct 2021. (Flash report, Nov 2021)
Child Deaths
Deaths of several children known to the system were covered in detail by NYC media in recent months. However, the number of child homicides in NYC in 2021 was 13 as of late October, consistent with the city average of 15 deaths annually. (New York Times)
Preventive Services
Preventive service referrals dropped by 27% and new preventive cases dropped by 45% in the first months of the pandemic. (Arons, p12), and remained sharply down through June 2021. Although preventive cases have risen since summer 2021, they remain lower than in 2019 or past years. (Flash report, Nov 2021)
Number of Children in Foster Care
The number of children in foster care dropped from 8,000 just prior to the pandemic to 7,600 today. (ACS testimony, p4).
Permanency Outcomes
35% fewer children were discharged from foster care during the period of March 2020 to February 2021 compared to the previous year, March 2019 to February 2020. The courts did not hear reunification cases for much of 2020, and some children returned home by stipulation during that time (ACS testimony, p4).
Termination of parental rights
Very few parents’ rights were terminated in the first months of the pandemic, but TPRs escalated in fall 2020 and dramatically increased in 2021. In the chart below, “no-surrender” is a euphemism for termination of parental rights.
Other Changes in System Practice
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Safety assessments were sometimes done outside the home or remotely, and workers called ahead to establish whether the home was safe to visit because of COVID.
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Filing for court-ordered supervision was not an option, and prevention was underutilized.
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4,000 case reviews were held to expedite reunifications, which ACS plans to continue (ACS Testimony COVID, p14).
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ACS itself addressed material needs more than usual, handing out $1.5 million in cash and $3 million donated items to address basic needs (ACS Testimony COVID, p7).
Data Sources
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Anna Arons: An Unintended Abolition: Family Regulation During the COVID-19 Crisis
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ACS written testimony to the General Welfare Committee meeting June 14, 2021
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City Council General Welfare Committee June 2021 video
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ACS July 2021 Flash Indicator Report
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ACS July 2020 Flash Indicator Report
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ACS November 2021 Flash Indicator Report
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New York Times, “These Children Were Beaten to Death. Could They Have Been Saved?”
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CWW Watching the Numbers Feb. 2021
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Mayor’s Management Report Sept. 2021